Tuesday, October 12, 2010

Inflection point

"... Global markets are heading for an “important turning point” as interest rates begin to rise within about three months and the U.S. dollar gains, according to investor Marc Faber.
Investors should buy stocks and sell cash and bonds because governments are continuing to print too much money and may create a new “credit bubble,” Faber, publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom report, told reporters during a forum in Seoul today.
“Instead of interest rates going down, they could start to go up, instead of the dollar being weak, it could strengthen,” Faber said. “I’m ultra-bearish on everything, but I believe you’ll be better off owning shares than government bonds.”
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Comment: Bonds indeed my be in the greatest bubble the world has ever seen. There is so much inflationay potential in the world that it is almost impossible to think that central banks will be able to manage a smooth exit. As to stocks I'm somewhat more skeptical than Faber and I also have doubts about the US dollar. Nevertheless, one should indeed consider stocks and reduce one-sided postions in the currency markets.

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