Thursday, March 25, 2010

Too much supply of bad debt

WSJ - NEW YORK—Treasury prices fell hard after a poor five-year auction that escalated concerns about the government's ability to sell its massive amounts of debt.
Worries about supply picked up this week after the government's $44 billion two-year auction on Tuesday attracted less demand than anticipated. The five year sale was messier, sending Treasury prices tumbling. Demand at the auctions may have been impacted by less buying from Japan as its fiscal year-end approaches. Nonetheless, the poor results put investors on edge given the huge amounts of debt the government is likely to continue to issue to fund its budget deficit...
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Comment: As we are just at the beginning of the great wave of supply, it takes little thought to foresee further price declines ahead for bonds.

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